Introducing the case of the ‘Survival Model’ into the discourse of Climate Breakdown, Social Collapse, and Near Term Human Extinction.
So Climate change is now sweeping our world, as the name implies. It’s about change but what kind of change exactly? As with everything, time changes things, like the erosion of rocks into sand, like the coastlines and the ever-changing flux of populations. What hasn’t been very clearly explained to the public at large is that the changes referred to here are not necessarily inclusive of the homo-sapiens (humans), in other words, we may not survive.
The entire industrial civilization is more like a giant risk take, an adrenaline overload, balancing on a tight rope without a safety net, when journos write about the climate, the words “likely” must be used so they do not fall into professing an absolute. Science, after all, is about experimentation, repeated, results which are consistent, leading us to agree that something is a fact.
“Science is built up of facts, as a house is built of stones; but an accumulation of facts is no more a science than a heap of stones is a house“, Henri Poincaré French mathematician, polymath stated in Science and Hypothesis more than a century ago. To build the house of climate knowledge many facts are used, techniques, that is to say, the foundational sciences are very sound, the building is standing the weathering probably a lot better than we as a species are responding to the direct biological threat.
The leading peer-reviewed journal, Climatic Change is multi-disciplinary in its scope and made up of scientific papers, covering a diverse array of fields, informing our current understanding of climate change and some of its implications. Once someone begins to comment on climate change in the media (television, radio, newspapers, etc.) and establishes a public profile, it is only a matter of time before questions are asked about whether they are qualified to express an informed opinion. So, who is?
Probably people trained in fields like these:
Atmospheric and Physical Sciences: Climatology, Meteorology, Atmospheric dynamics, Atmospheric physics, Atmospheric chemistry, Solar physics, Historical climatology Earth Sciences: Geophysics, Geochemistry, Geology, Soil Science, Oceanography, Glaciology, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoenvironmental reconstruction Biological Sciences: Ecology, Synthetic biology, Biochemistry, Global change biology, Biogeography, Ecophysiology, Ecological genetics Mathematics, Statistics and Computational analysis: Applied mathematics, Mathematical modelling, Computer science, Numerical modelling, Bayesian inference, Mathematical statistics, Time series analysis.
Our current scientific understanding of global warming and climate change impacts are not the domain of one, quirky field called ‘climate science’. Our ability (or not) to manage and mitigate it lies with the humanities and social sciences, economics, and engineering though, this is becoming increasingly evident.
How to stabilize the more important house, the planet earth, our home and the biosphere does not seem to be found in the corridors of Academia either.
Extinction models are obvious, so what is “The Survival Model”.
Is it too late to develop a planet-friendly culture and design set?
How much extinction occurred before the advent of fossil fuel machines?
Being honest about the greater collection of ecological crises without a rapidly heating planet or climate change would be a start. Then appreciating how much literal carbon was being
absorbed by living functioning ecosystems as almost all life is carbon-based( made out of carbon), all our energy driven by carbohydrates.
There will be diverse opinions, of course, so let us get started because all indicators show we are out of time. What occurs on the micro in repeated patterns, emerges in the macro. Never could this peculiarity of scared geometry be more important for us to grasp as human beings than ever before.
Moderating the climate is the new challenge for us, and it is locked into the water cycle.
Join us as we take you on a journey through climate mitigation, deep adaptation and bio-remediation.